10 November 2020

The Sham

You've almost certainly heard Donald Trump is still contesting that Joe Biden defeated him in last week's election. Trump keeps throwing around wild claims about massive fraud but has produced utterly no proof.

His campaign ran to court repeatedly during the past week in an attempt to stop vote counting in some states where he was ahead and, at the same time, to demand other states keep counting or to count again. So far, all of those attempts in court have failed.

Some are feeling uncertain about what will happen, but the reality is that Trump is pissing in the wind. Amber Phillips writes an excellent free daily newsletter about topics in the news called "The 5-Minute Fix." She lays out why Trump's chances of succeeding are all but nonexistent.

The piece is not available online, so I'm reposting it here in its brief entirety.

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Why Trump’s legal challenge chances are almost nil

Some Democratic voters are nervous — and a number of Republican voters, alongside the president, are hopeful — that the results of the presidential election aren’t really the results and that somehow court challenges to the vote count will make President Trump the winner.

The likelihood of that is almost nil. Here’s why:

— The Trump campaign is running out of time to stop ballots from being counted and so far hasn’t succeeded in any court case to do so. Even if they did stop counting, it’s not clear what they’d get out of it. Even without the four outstanding states, Biden has already won the 270 electoral votes needed.

— The Trump campaign has yet to provide evidence of fraud to overturn results. And they have shared no evidence of the kind of widespread fraud that would overturn an election by tens of thousands of votes in several states. That’s what they’d need to prove to win, and proving it would mean they’ve uncovered a historic, unprecedented level of corruption in America.

— A recount is expected in at least Georgia, possibly the closest state of all, where Biden is leading by almost 10,700 votes. There could be other recounts. But recounts typically change hundreds of votes, not thousands.

— Trump’s hardcore allies in Congress are telling him to fight on, but Republican leaders had been conspicuously silent over the weekend. The longer this drags on, the more pressure they will probably put on Trump to concede. But maybe not anytime soon. The top Senate Republican actually backed Trump on Monday. “President Trump is 100 percent in his right to look into allegations of irregularities,” Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said.

What’s likelier is that the Trump campaign’s effort to undermine the election could morph into a vehicle to undermine Biden’s presidency. That’s especially true if Republicans hold onto the Senate, where Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) has urged his colleagues to create a committee to study 2020 votes cast by mail with a skeptical eye.



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