06 December 2019

It's On

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced yesterday that she's asked the House Judiciary Committee to draft articles of impeachment against Donald Trump (details here)

"His wrongdoing strikes at the very heart of our Constitution," she stated in prepared remarks. "The President leaves us no choice but to act because he is trying to corrupt, once again, the election for his own benefit."

Her directive notwithstanding, there will still be a formal vote in the Judiciary Committee to approve specific articles of impeachment. And then, the matter proceeds to the full House, where they, too, will hold a formal vote on specific articles of impeachment.

It would be safe to assume at this juncture that impeachment will happen. The chances that it won't art close to nonexistent.

Once impeached, the matter moves to the Senate for a trial. There, with Republicans in a majority, the chances of him being acquitted are high.

Nonetheless, the trial still has the potential to deliver a solid rebuke of Trump that will hurt him badly heading into the final stretches of the 2020 presidential campaign. So Trump prevailing in the Senate trial but then losing his reelection bid would be like winning the battle but then losing the war.

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