11 February 2020

Again?

The conservative George Conway wrote an intriguing piece for the Washington Post yesterday (link here or here) about how Donald Trump has already made the case for impeaching him again.

Conway is right on the law and he's right on his moral stance. However, I don't think the House should even think about impeaching Trump again unless there's a strong shift in public sentiment away from the President.

Let's say, for instance, Trump is barely reelected by winning the Electoral College again while losing the popular vote again, but the Senate swings to Democratic control and Democrats retain control of the House, which is certainly a real possibility. Congress and the White House would probably be battling constantly as Trump tried to end run the legislature and just outright ignored them.

If impeachment happened again, the Senate would hold a real impeachment trial that would be nothing like the sham of late. But without two-thirds vote to remove, it would once again be a draw and only embolden Trump further. The stalemate would worsen.

Only if public sentiment turns strongly against Trump, as happened with Nixon, then a vote to remove would become possible.

But there's a better way to handle this. The election is in nine months. Better to vote Trump out of office. A high enough voter turnout will overcome the slight Electoral College advantage that Trump has.

That's why volunteering for Trump's general election opponent is so helpful because even if you're not in a swing state, you can still phone bank from home for the campaign and call voters in a swing state. If you live in a state that borders adjoins swing state and you live close to the state line, you can always go "over there" and volunteer in person.

This time, as voters, let's impeach Trump ourselves by voting him out of office, thus saving Congress the hassle.

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