24 September 2020

Chaos

The November issue of The Atlantic will feature a deeply disturbing article that's already available online (link here) about how Donald Trump might use state legislatures and other measures to hold onto power even if he clearly loses the election this year.

The piece reads like a dystopian horror story that's certainly credible, if not particularly likely. As we've already seen, Trump and the Republicans have been battling in court to knock down every state measure that makes it easier for people to vote, hoping that a low turnout will help him. Many of those attempts have been thwarted legally.

There's one way to defeat scenarios like this from happening, and it's spelled right out in the secondary title of the article: it really would only work if the election outcome is close.

If Trump loses in a landslide, the chances of him pulling off something like the scenario in the piece is close to nonexistent. But if the count is very close like it was in the year 2000, and the outcome of the race all comes down to one late-counting state, and that state has a legislature under Republican control, then the article's hypothesis becomes much more likely.

Unfortunately, most of the so-called battleground or swing state legislatures have GOP majorities: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

This is why a high turnout is important and everyone opposed to Trump must vote against him. As well, high turnout helps in statehouse races.

Many state seats are also up for reelection in November, and some of those statehouses could be lost to GOP control. This second point is critically important because state legislatures are usually seated on January 3rd, more than two weeks before Inauguration Day.

If a state like Michigan or Pennsylvania or Wisconsin sees their state house/assembly switch to a Democratic majority, in no way would they modify voting rules to accommodate Trump as the linked article suggests.

Have you registered to vote? If not, do it today — registration closes in some states in less than two weeks. To register or to check your registration status, click here.

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