The writer clearly believes he's more likely to face state criminal charges than federal criminal charges. What he doesn't mention is that the feds might take a wait and see approach to pursuing Trump — waiting to see if he's prosecuted on state charges and whether he's convicted.
Arguably, if he's convicted on state charges, then pursuing federal charges might ignite less of a powderkeg. Being found guilty of one or more crimes will not endear him more to most people, except for his die-hard fans.
That aside, he's also facing a mountain of civil litigation that he's somewhat successfully delayed. Once he leaves office, however, he no longer has the protection of the presidency nor can he used the Justice Department to defend him.
The potential for criminal prosecution, I would argue, is Trump's greatest motivation for wanting to be reelected. While he's in office, the Justice Department won't pursue him.
That protection is gone if he's defeated. While the issue of state criminal charges of a President has never been addressed by a federal court, state prosecutors too might realize it's more advantageous to wait until he's out of office.
Trump arguably will at least try to preemptively pardon himself and his family for any possible federal charges. That would work for his children, although causing a political stink, but there's considerable legal scholarship that he cannot pardon himself.
All the more reason to hurry him out of office by defeating him on November third. Let's get this show on the road and see what happens.
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