23 December 2020

Lashing Out

Axios published one of their trademark juicy, brief pieces yesterday (link here) about how an panicking Donald Trump is lashing out at anyone in his inner circle who doesn't yes-man his increasingly bizarre conspiracy theories.

Although he's famously disloyal to even his most loyal of subordinates, his demands for total loyalty have escalated with fewer interested in staying in the club. The greatest disgrace in Washington is not death, it's losing an election and Trump is learning that now.

Some will still be fiercely loyal, including members of Congress, because their political survival depends on it. But even his formerly most loyal of underlings, most notably the two Michaels, Pence and Pompeo, are easing toward the exits.

Trump is emotionally more fragile with each passing day and irrational but is there a danger he'll do something extreme? I don't think so. He might try something wacky, but there are enough people within arms reach of him who will stand in the way of something recklessly dangerous to the country.

Every time the subject comes up about Trump's frantic efforts to stay in office, the reason why becomes ever more obvious: because he's terrified of a criminal prosecution and financial ruin.



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22 December 2020

Dark Winter

We are currently enduring the grim Covid-19 winter that experts have been warning about for months with skyrocketing infection rates, record high deaths, and ICUs filled to capacity. To chronicle how it didn't have to be this way, on Saturday, the Washington Post published a detailed article (link here or here) with the title "The inside story of how Trump’s denial, mismanagement and magical thinking led to the pandemic’s dark winter."

The piece proves, without a shadow of a doubt and with example after example, why things are worse here than elsewhere in the world — it's because of Donald Trump. More than four dozen White House officials and Trump insiders were interviewed for the piece both off an on the record.

To add insult to injury, as the article notes, Trump has abdicated caring about or focusing on the pandemic since he lost the election. It's just completely off his radar.

Trump is spending all his time poking into bizarre rabbit holes in hopes of finding some way to stay in office. At the same time, he's all but given up on the job he so desperately wants to keep.

Trump's abysmal handling of the Covid-19 crisis is the best example of why he could never be fit to serve as a ward captain let alone President of the United States. His term ends four weeks from Wednesday, and that can't come soon enough.



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21 December 2020

The Crack-Up

Yesterday, both Politico and The Atlantic magazines published articles on the same theme: Is Donald Trump going crazy? Since he lost the election, Trump has largely hidden from public view and spent much of his time spinning more and more bizarre conspiracy theories.

The Atlantic's somewhat shorter item (link here) is titled "Trump Is Losing His Mind." Politico's somewhat longer piece (link here) is titled "Is Trump Cracking Under the Weight of Losing?"

Both discuss how Trump's extreme narcissism cannot process the intense humiliation of losing the Presidency. Rather than face that truth, he weaves increasingly surreal conspiracy claims. He cannot accept the reality that he is a big loser, something that will be written in history for all time.

Both articles touch on the mounting legal challenges Trump faces once he leaves office. Neither really dig into a real possibility that I think might exist — Trump is terrified of being prosecuted, convicted, and even sent to prison. For that reason, he's coming apart.

Not only will history record Trump as a big loser, it may also record him as the first American President to face a criminal trial and possible criminal conviction. In short, the former President may soon be a felon.

Trump has run one step ahead of the law his entire life, both in civil law and criminal law. That race may soon end, and it could be with handcuffs around his wrists now that he will no longer be President. I suspect that fact terrifies him.

And that, more than anything, may be the reason he's visibly coming unglued. The presidency is his lifeboat, and without it, he will perish.



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20 December 2020

Hacked

Since March, Russian intelligence operatives have hacked into critically important US computer systems, include many run by the American government. When it was first made public this month, his has repeatedly been described as the most serious breech in intelligence history.

Wired magazine has published a comprehensive series of articles about the hack (link here). US government officials, including the Secretary of State and top intelligence personnel, have all identified Russian intelligence as the culprit.

After days of silence on this unfolding crisis, Donald Trump is now trying to blame China and says Russia was not involved (details here). He offers no evidence. He doesn't even know how to operate a laptop or desktop or tablet so he's hardly a computer expert.

US intelligence officials immediately contradicted him behind his back. Security specialists say there's no evidence China was involved and enormous evidence Russian intelligence was responsible.

There have been repeated claims that Trump was long ago compromised by Russia and is a real-life equivalent of the Manchurian Candidate. Such assertions nonetheless seem like something from a novel or movie and not the real world.

But when Trump repeatedly takes Russia's side in matters like this, and contradicts the American government, and bends over backwards to give Russia the benefit of the doubt, time after time after time without exception, wondering if he really is Moscow's puppet seems not so far fetched after all.

Of course, Trump will do nothing about this mess. It will be left to President-elect Joe Biden's administration to sort it all out. Meanwhile, America's computer networks remain compromised.



Big Beast

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19 December 2020

The Mysterious Shell

Yesterday, Business Insider and the New York Times concurrently broke the startling story (link here and here) that Donald Trump's reelection campaign laundered at least $600 million to $700 million into a mysterious shell company created by Jared Kushner, the President's son-in-law. The company was controlled by the President's daughter-in-law and the Vice President's nephew.

Those hundreds of millions represent half or more of the $1.26 billion in donations it received from Trump's supporters for the 2020 election.

In violation of federal law, the company was created to avoid required reporting of campaign spending to the Federal Election Commission. It also paid Trump's family members as well as some of his top advisors, but the amount of those payments as well as the exact number and identity of recipients is unknown.

The shell company was so mysterious that top-level campaign officials didn't even know its function or what it was doing.

Whether it spent money prudently is also unknown as well. During the final months before the election, Trump's campaign cancelled tens of millions in advertising because it was running out of money.

Per the linked Insider article: "Campaign-law experts have long accused the Trump team of using a corporate pass-through to hide payments. The nonpartisan Campaign Legal Center [in a legal complaint filed with the federal government in July accused] the Trump campaign of 'disguising' about $170 million worth of campaign spending in large part 'by laundering the funds' through] the shell company. After that complaint was filed, roughly $400 million more was laundered through the mysterious shell company.

A Campaign Legal Center official said money laundered through the shell company was a "scheme to evade telling voters even the basics on where its money is really going" and a "shield to disguise the ultimate recipients of its spending."

The Federal Election Commission could fine Trump and his campaign for this tactic. And if the Justice Department suspects that a "knowing and willful" violation of the law occurred, it can open a criminal investigation and, ultimately, file criminal charges against those responsible.

This raises the question of why would a candidate use a secretive shell company in a presidential campaign if it wasn't deliberately designed to hide something in violation of the law? By its very nature it suggests both something illegal was going on and those atop the campaign went out of their way to hide it.



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18 December 2020

A Major Villain

One side benefit to Donald Trump's decisive defeat in last month's election will be the departure of a whole slew of despicable characters in his administration. Picking who was the worst of the bunch is a formidable tasks because there are so many choices.

One particularly loathsome individual who must rank in the top firmament of nearly everyone's list is Trump's outgoing attorney general, William Barr. To help anyone compiling the long list of Barr's evil deeds, on Tuesday The New Republic helpfully published an article (link here) with the title "Bill Barr Will Go Down in History as Trump’s Worst Enabler." The secondary deck title is "The attorney general could not deliver the corrupt boons the President sought, but it was not for want of trying."

The piece pulls no punches. Right up front, Barr is identified as the person who "did more damage to the rule of law than any other attorney general in American history." That naturally raises a question — was he even worse than Richard Nixon's grossly corrupt attorney general John Mitchell who was prosecuted, convicted, and incarcerated in federal prison for his crimes in the Watergate scandal?

Probably so. Mitchell was evil and deeply corrupt but ultimately a clumsy fool. Barr is evil and deeply corrupt but far more careful. While, like Trump, he completely lacks a moral compass, he's far smarter. Mitchell was easy to prosecute because his crimes were so glaringly obvious, whereas Barr can cloak every heinous action he took as being within the law.

Barr claims to be motivated by a belief in a strong commander-in-chief — he wants a President to be running the show, not Congress nor the Supreme Court.

But Barr's actions have betrayed that goal. He actually wants a President to be entirely unaccountable under the law. He was Trump's worst enabler because he wanted to turn him into an all-powerful President. That's not democratic; that's fascistic.

You'd think that Trump's rampant corruption would have shown him the dangers of that approach. But he was blind to the lesson before him — whether this was intentional or accidental is irrelevant.

An attorney general is supposed to be nearly autonomous from the White House, but Barr ignored that precedent. One is left wondering why, given he wasn't a long-time Trump loyalist and didn't know the President before he was elected. One must surmise it was a quest for power — a more powerful President meant a more powerful attorney general.

That means Barr wasn't merely corrupt and evil. He was also extremely dangerous, far more than John Mitchell ever was.



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17 December 2020

The Ultimate Con

Con artists usually run into serious trouble when they begin to believe their own scam. Donald Trump sounds like he's falling into this trap.

A piece from CNN yesterday (link here) written by five of their senior White House reporters reveals that Trump appears to now believe his own big lie — that he won the election and that massive fraud was committed.

"Efforts to convince Trump to accept his loss have run up against a President who seems to be increasingly entrenched in his denial of Biden's win," the piece reveals. "While Trump had begun to privately accept the reality that he lost the election late last month, advisers say Trump has now reversed and dug in deeper -- not only spreading misinformation about the election, but ingesting it himself. He's been fed so much misinformation that I think he actually thinks this thing was stolen from him."

And this anecdote shows how disconnected from reality he seems to be: "In his moments of deepest denial, Trump has told some advisers that he will refuse to leave the White House on Inauguration Day, only to be walked down from that ledge"

For someone who is all consumed by his public image, he doesn't seem to grasp that the idea of him being physically marched out of the White House at noon on Inauguration Day would be a humiliation that would be his final legacy to last for generations — a man who had completely lost his senses.



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16 December 2020

Stunning

With President-elect Joe Biden's decisive win yesterday in the Electoral College, more Republican politicians have come off the fence and either congratulated him or at least acknowledged he has won.

Some diehards, however, continue to insist Donald Trump really won but that's been covered up by massive fraud and cheating, notwithstanding a complete lack of evidence to support that claim. Some have even called for Trump to impose martial law so that he might remain President. It's curious how these so-called defenders of the Constitution insist that foundational document must now be ignored in order to "save" it.

Conservative Republican pundit Michael Gerson addressed this latter group in a pitch-perfect opinion piece in Monday's Washington Post (link here) with the title "The moral hypocrisy of conservative leaders is stunning."

He does not mince words in his condemnation of people he once respected. Conservativism formerly strived to uphold the Constitution and democracy, he says, but no more. Now it's the ends justify the means no matter what. If it's a choice between democracy or undemocratically keeping Republicans in power, they will choose the latter without a second thought.

He makes good, solid points. Whether it will reach his intended audience remains to be seen. They are more and more isolated in an insular bubble.

After all, he describes their supporters as "so disconnected from reality that sanity is viewed as a betrayal." They may well be by this point in time, too.



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15 December 2020

In the Spotlight

Four minutes before President-Elect Joe Biden's Electoral College win yesterday would be finalized with the last state's vote, Donald Trump announced the Attorney General William Barr would be leaving his job next week, less than a month before the end of his presidency (details here and here).

He obviously did this because he wanted to steal the page-one, top-headline attention.

Barr and Trump have been on the outs for a while, both because Barr stated publicly that last month's election and the outcome were not hampered by significant fraud and because the Attorney General did not tell the President before the election that a tax investigation had been opened into Biden's son.

In short, Trump was outraged because, on two occasions, Barr chose the ethical option. Lying about the election to boost the President's ego would damage the country and the incoming presidency. And revealing the Biden tax investigation would have violated Department of Justice regulations as well as federal law.

Trump refuses to recognize such rationale, because in his mind, loyalty overrules everything else. If you have a choice between breaking the law or helping Trump, the outgoing President clearly thinks you should choose the latter option. In his mind, it's always me me me me me me me and nothing else.

So while Trump may have briefly stolen some of President-elect Biden's attention yesterday, he also underscored why he deserved to be defeated. He has no sense of right or wrong and no sense of country before self.

He is his own best witness in proving why he would always be unfit to be President.



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14 December 2020

Speechless

On Satuday, the New York Times published an article (link here) with the title "Republicans Find Themselves Speechless Following a Supreme Court Defeat" and the secondary deck title of "a ruling against Trump appears to leave no avenue forward for the President, forcing Republicans to 'play the hand we’re dealt.'"

During the past week, Donald Trump openly all but assured his supporters that the Supreme Court would upend the election he lost and instead declare him the winner because of a case he called "the big one."

Legal experts and ordinary lawyers around the country, however, were confident the long-shot mess submitted to the Supreme Court would soon be tossed, which it was, a development that came as no surprise to the majority of Americans who live outside the Trump bubble.

Reality has now hit many if not most Trump supporters square in the face like a sonic boom — the President has been lying to you all along. He and his allies have lost fifty-nine separate lawsuits alleging fraud for which they provided zero evidence. The only lawsuit they won saw a change of a few dozen votes, not because of fraud, but because of a minor technicality.

Some Trump supporters vow to fight on. That is futile. They might as well drive to the ocean and shout at the tide to turn back. It will have the same results.