05 November 2020

A Clearer Picture

A day later, a lot more is known about the outcome of Tuesday's election, and it's all bad news for Donald Trump.

More states have been called for Joe Biden but none for Trump. Biden leads in two of the five states yet to be called. His popular vote lead is closing in on 4 million.

If that holds, and there's good reason to believe it will, he wins 270 electoral votes and the presidency.

That leaves three other states. Trump leads in all three but his lead keeps shrinking as more votes are counted. These are almost entirely mail-in votes, and those are breaking 70 to 75 percent for Biden.

In short, Biden has several potential paths to victory. Trump has almost none.

Trump has already filed suit to stop the count in some states. Legal experts nearly universally agree the filings have no chance (details here, here, and here).

You need grounds to be able to sue someone successfully over election matters. Simply being a sore loser is not sufficient.

Some of the remaining five states yet to be called will take several more days or longer because they can count votes received after election day as long as they are postmarked on or before November 3, 2020. So we all have to sit tight and wait.

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