07 November 2020

Endgame

It is now all but certain that Donald Trump has lost the presidential election. Five states remain to be called, and Joe Biden leads in four of them. His popular vote margin has passed four million and continues to grow.

Trump's advantage in Pennsylvania vanished early yesterday as Biden took the lead and that continued to grow through the day. Nearly all the uncounted votes are in counties with a strong Democratic tilt, thus rendering the chance that Trump could grab the lead all but impossible. Winning Pennsylvania alone would give Biden enough electoral votes to take the presidency.

In Georgia, Biden's small lead also continued to grow yesterday. The count there is nearly completed; what remains is mostly in Democratic-leaning counties. A recount will likely be ordered because of the close margin, but historically they have never changed more than a few hundred votes and Biden leads by well over four thousand.

In Nevada, Biden's lead also continued to grow yesterday. The remaining votes are, once again, primarily in Democratic-strong counties. Biden's lead is wide enough that a recount would not happen. And in Arizona, Biden's advantage over Trump narrowed somewhat yesterday, but Trump is not catching up at a rate that would allow him to take the lead.

You can follow the vote count for the latest developments on a free election page (link here) at the New York Times.

Trump almost certainly will not concede. I haven't bothered to write about his rantings and ravings since the election because he's increasingly unhinged and irrelevant.

But a concession isn't necessary as a matter of law. The mechanism for inaugurating our new President will function without him.

So will have to sit tight for now. The race could be called tomorrow and then again it might not be. But it will be soon.



No comments:

Post a Comment

Speak up!